Examining the dynamic nature of pupils' educational aspirations. A longitudinal mixed-model study.

Autor/inn/en	Jokic, Boris; Ristic Dedic, Zrinka
Titel	Examining the dynamic nature of pupils' educational aspirations. A longitudinal mixed-model study. Paralleltitel: Preucevanje dinamicne narave izobrazevalnih aspiracij ucencev: longitudinalna studija z mesanim modelom.
Quelle	In: CEPS journal, 15 (2025) 3, S. 13-39Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (1); PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (2); PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (3) Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1855-9719; 2232-2647
DOI	10.25656/01:35114 10.26529/cepsj.1613
URN	urn:nbn:de:0111-pedocs-351141
Schlagwörter	Bildungsaspiration; Sekundarstufe II; Sekundarbereich; Schüler; Empirische Untersuchung; Längsschnittuntersuchung; Mixed-Methods-Design; Hochschulbildung; Kroatien
Abstract	This paper describes the results from a fully integrated longitudinal mixed model study examining the nature of, changes in, and interaction between the upper secondary and higher education aspirations of Croatian pupils. The research was carried out over two academic years in which pupils approached the transition from single-structure elementary (primary and lower secondary) education to differentiated upper secondary education. The qualitative part of the study centred on an indepth exploration of the educational aspirations of 30 pupils from five schools using a series of 118 semi-structured interviews. The quantitative part consisted of repeated questionnaire administration (N = 823) while pupils progressed to the final year of elementary education. Generalised Estimating Equations for Repeated Measures Outcome and Latent Curve Growth Modelling procedures indicate significant changes in upper secondary aspirations and stable higher education aspirations over time. Qualitative analyses indicate five patterns of upper secondary education aspirations and three patterns of higher education aspirations. Analysis of the interaction between aspirations at different educational levels suggests that upper secondary aspiration mediates a pupil's aspiration for higher education. These results suggest that special effort is necessary in order to inform pupils about their educational options at both the upper secondary and higher education levels. (DIPF/Orig.).
Erfasst von	DIPF \| Leibniz-Institut für Bildungsforschung und Bildungsinformation, Frankfurt am Main
Update	2026/3