What Goes Up May Come Down: Trends in the Upward and Downward Occupational Mobility of U.S. Workers.

Autor/inn/en	Ruder, Alexander; Sánchez, Alvaro
Titel	What Goes Up May Come Down: Trends in the Upward and Downward Occupational Mobility of U.S. Workers. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Was hochsteigt kann auch wieder fallen: Trends bei der aufsteigenden und absteigenden beruflichen Mobilität von Arbeitnehmern in den USA.
Quelle	In: Economic development quarterly, 40 (2026) 3, S. 222-240 PDF als Volltext Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1552-3543
DOI	10.1177/08912424261444980
Schlagwörter	Betriebliche Sozialleistung; Lohnhöhe; Niedriglohn; Arbeitsplatz; Berufliche Mobilität; Beruflicher Abstieg; Beruflicher Aufstieg; Berufsprestige; Berufswechsel; Qualifikation; Wochenarbeitszeit; Alter; Entwicklung; Ethnische Herkunft; Qualität; Abhängig Beschäftigter; USA
Abstract	"This paper estimates annual upward and downward occupational mobility rates in the United States between 2018 and 2024. The authors find that only 6.6% of workers in the lowest-quality occupations moved into higher-quality occupations. Conversely, 8.0% of workers in middle-quality occupations moved into lower-quality occupations. To capture trends, the authors estimate annual mobility rates from 2011 onward and find increasing downward mobility through 2018 and increasing upward mobility through 2019. In both series, higher variability was found but little change comparing 2018 and 2024. The authors use multinomial logit regressions to estimate individual characteristics associated with upward and downward occupational mobility. Higher levels of education and younger age are associated with increased transitions to higher-quality occupations and reduced downward occupational transitions. The authors find mixed results for race, ethnicity, and gender, with results suggesting the importance of human capital investments and other interventions that promote upward mobility and may prevent downward mobility." The study refers to the period 2011-2024 (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2026/4