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Autor/inn/enBaneres, David; Rodriguez-Gonzalez, M. Elena; Guerrero-Roldan, Ana Elena
TitelA Real-Time Predictive Model for Identifying Course Dropout in Online Higher Education
QuelleIn: IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 16 (2023) 4, S.484-499 (16 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift
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ZusatzinformationORCID (Baneres, David)
ORCID (Rodriguez-Gonzalez, M. Elena)
ORCID (Guerrero-Roldan, Ana Elena)
Spracheenglisch
Dokumenttypgedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
DOI10.1109/TLT.2023.3267275
SchlagwörterPrediction; Models; Identification; Potential Dropouts; Dropout Prevention; Online Courses; Higher Education; Probability; Intervention; At Risk Students; College Freshmen; Accuracy
AbstractCourse dropout is a concern in online higher education, mainly in first-year courses when different factors negatively influence the learners' engagement leading to an unsuccessful outcome or even dropping out from the university. The early identification of such potential at-risk learners is the key to intervening and trying to help them before they decide to drop out. This article focuses on this challenging problem by providing a predictive dropout model with distinctive characteristics from previous approaches. First, the identification is in real time by providing a daily dropout prediction. Second, a temporal window of variable size is defined to evaluate the likelihood of being a dropout learner at the activity level. Such contributions will serve as a basis for designing and applying intervention mechanisms to reverse the course dropout at-risk situation. The predictive model and the temporal window have been evaluated on data from an authentic online learning setting in two first-year undergraduate courses. We show the accuracy of correctly identifying at-risk learners within activities and the model performance to detect actual course dropout learners. (As Provided).
AnmerkungenInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. 445 Hoes Lane, Piscataway, NJ 08854. Tel: 732-981-0060; Web site: http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=4620076
Erfasst vonERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update2024/1/01
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