Reasoning under Uncertainty within the Context of Probability Education: A Case Study of Preservice Mathematics Teachers

Autor/in	Elbehary, Samah G. A.
Titel	Reasoning under Uncertainty within the Context of Probability Education: A Case Study of Preservice Mathematics Teachers
Quelle	In: Pythagoras, 42 (2021) 1, Artikel 630 (15 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Verfügbarkeit
Zusatzinformation	ORCID (Elbehary, Samah G. A.)
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1012-2346
Schlagwörter	Preservice Teachers; Mathematics Teachers; Probability; Mathematics Education; Mathematical Logic; Prediction; Beliefs; Religious Factors; Foreign Countries; Cognitive Style; Cultural Influences; Egypt + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Mathematics; Teacher; Teachers; Mathematik; Lehrer; Lehrerin; Lehrende; Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung; Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie; Mathematische Bildung; Mathematical logics; Mathematische Logik; Vorhersage; Belief; Glaube; Ausland; Cognitive styles; Kognitiver Stil; Cultural influence; Kultureinfluss; Ägypten
Abstract	Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics teachers (PSMTs) reason under uncertainty? A multiple case study design was operated in which a purposive sample of PSMTs was selected to justify their reasoning in two probabilistic contexts while their responses were coded by NVivo, and corresponding categories were developed. As a result, PSMTs' probabilistic reasoning was classified into mathematical (M), subjective (S), and outcome-oriented (O). Besides, several biases emerged along with these modes of reasoning. While M thinkers shared equiprobability and insensitivity to prior probability, the prediction bias and the belief of Allah's willingness were yielded among S thinkers. Also, the causal conception spread among O thinkers. (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2024/1/01