Long-Run Returns to Field of Study in Secondary School.

Autor/inn/en	Dahl, Gordon B.; Rooth, Dan-Olof; Stenberg, Anders
Institution	Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit
Titel	Long-Run Returns to Field of Study in Secondary School. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Langzeiterträge der Fächerwahl im Sekundarbereich.
Quelle	(2020), 51 S. PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Reihe	IZA discussion paper. 13508
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Monographie
Schlagwörter	Bildung; Bildungsertrag; Gymnasium; Schulbildung; Fächerwahl; Unterrichtsfach; Naturwissenschaftliche Bildung; Geisteswissenschaften; Sozialwissenschaften; Ökonomie; Technik; Schweden
Abstract	"This paper studies whether specialized academic fields of study in secondary school, which are common in many countries, affect earnings as an adult. Identification is challenging, because it requires not just quasi-random variation into fields of study, but also an accounting of individuals' next-best alternatives. Our setting is Sweden, where at the end of ninth grade students rank fields of study and admissions to oversubscribed fields is determined based on a student's GPA. We use a regression discontinuity design which allows for different labor market returns for each combination of preferred versus next-best choice, together with nationwide register data for school cohorts from 1977-1991 linked to their earnings as adults. Our analysis yields four main findings. First, Engineering, Natural Science, and Business yield higher earnings relative to most second-best choices, while Social Science and Humanities result in sizable drops, even relative to non-academic vocational programs. Second, the return to completing a field varies substantially as a function of a student's next-best alternative. The magnitudes are often as large as estimates of the return to two years of additional education. Third, the pattern of returns for individuals with different first and second best choices is consistent with comparative advantage for many field choice combinations, while others exhibit either random sorting or comparative disadvantage. Fourth, most of the differences in adult earnings can be attributed to differences in college major and occupation. Taken together, these results highlight that the field choices students make at age 16, when they may have limited information about their skills and the labor market, have effects which last into adulthood." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2021/1