COVID-19 and the scientific publishing system: growth, open access and scientific fields.

Autor/inn/en	Nane, Gabriela F.; Robinson-Garcia, Nicolas; van Schalkwyk, François; Torres-Salinas, Daniel
Titel	COVID-19 and the scientific publishing system: growth, open access and scientific fields.
Quelle	In: Scientometrics, (2022) 1, S.345-362 PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0138-9130
DOI	10.1007/s11192-022-04536-x
Schlagwörter	COVID-19; Scientific publications; Growth of science; Dimensions; Open access
Abstract	Abstract We model the growth of scientific literature related to COVID-19 and forecast the expected growth from 1 June 2021. Considering the significant scientific and financial efforts made by the research community to find solutions to end the COVID-19 pandemic, an unprecedented volume of scientific outputs is being produced. This questions the capacity of scientists, politicians and citizens to maintain infrastructure, digest content and take scientifically informed decisions. A crucial aspect is to make predictions to prepare for such a large corpus of scientific literature. Here we base our predictions on the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and exponential smoothing models using the Dimensions database. This source has the particularity of including in the metadata information on the date in which papers were indexed. We present global predictions, plus predictions in three specific settings: by type of access (Open Access), by domain-specific repository (SSRN and MedRxiv) and by several research fields. We conclude by discussing our findings.
Erfasst von	OLC
Update	2023/2/05