Potential for Significant Reductions in Dropout Rates: Analysis of an Entire 3rd Grade State Cohort

Autor/in	Cratty, Dorothyjean
Titel	Potential for Significant Reductions in Dropout Rates: Analysis of an Entire 3rd Grade State Cohort
Quelle	In: Economics of Education Review, 31 (2012) 5, S.644-662 (19 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0272-7757
DOI	10.1016/j.econedurev.2012.04.001
Schlagwörter	At Risk Students; Dropouts; High School Students; Probability; Dropout Rate; Grade 3; Equal Education; Cohort Analysis; Dropout Prevention; Predictive Measurement; Predictor Variables; Academically Gifted; Resource Allocation; Economics; North Carolina + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Drop-out; Drop-outs; Dropout; Early leavers; Schulversagen; High school; High schools; Student; Students; Oberschule; Schüler; Schülerin; Studentin; Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung; Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie; School year 03; 3. Schuljahr; Schuljahr 03; Kohortenanalyse; Prädiktor; Ressourcenallokation; Volkswirtschaftslehre
Abstract	Nineteen percent of 1997-98 North Carolina 3rd graders were observed to drop out of high school. A series of logits predict probabilities of dropping out on determinants such as math and reading test scores, absenteeism, suspension, and retention, at the following grade levels: 3rd, 5th, 8th, and 9th. The same cohort and variables are used to estimate benefits to the 15,737 students admitted to a special program ostensibly for academically and intellectually gifted children. I estimate the probability of admission for schoolmates with similar ability in math and reading to be substantially higher for those from upper income households. Finally, I conclude that extending similar resources to an equal number of high-risk students, as determined by their 3rd grade predicted probabilities, would lead to a 25% reduction in the total cohort dropout rate, and that even dividing existing resources between the two groups could cut dropout rates by half that. (Contains 6 tables and 5 figures.) (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10