Projecting Continuing Student Enrolments: A Comparison of Approaches

Autor/inn/en	Aitken, Robert; Young, Anne; McConkey, Kevin
Titel	Projecting Continuing Student Enrolments: A Comparison of Approaches
Quelle	In: Journal of Institutional Research, 16 (2011) 1, S.25-36 (12 Seiten) PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1443-2110
Schlagwörter	Foreign Countries; Higher Education; Educational Practices; Educational Opportunities; Enrollment Management; Enrollment Trends; Enrollment Projections; School Statistics; Models; Comparative Analysis; Educational History; Funding Formulas; Regression (Statistics); Australia + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Ausland; Hochschulbildung; Hochschulsystem; Hochschulwesen; Bildungspraxis; Bildungsangebot; Bildungschance; Analogiemodell; History of education; Bildungsgeschichte; Funding; Finanzierung; Regression; Regressionsanalyse; Australien
Abstract	Higher education in Australia is undergoing a comprehensive reform with particular focus on higher levels of attainment by increasing access to university study for Australians from all backgrounds. To support the government's ambition of around 217,000 additional graduates by 2025, it has committed to removing caps and funding student places on the basis of student demand. While this approach increases the total level of funding available to universities, it comes at some expense of certainty with funding no longer available for places not filled. For universities to successfully operate in this more uncertain and competitive external environment will, more than ever, necessitate comprehensive, robust business planning based on more precise projections of student enrolments. The University of Newcastle is a comprehensive, research-intensive university of 32,000 students that serves a regional population. It has a data warehouse that merges and links data from internal and external sources and over time to enable longitudinal analysis of the admission, progression, retention and success of cohorts of students. The university has historically used a range of data-driven approaches to project continuing student enrolments and equivalent full-time student load (EFTSL) for business planning purposes, based on the academic career, program, campus and admit term of student cohorts. This article presents the results from a comparison of these approaches with a more complex approach to projecting continuing student enrolments incorporating additional information on student demographic, admission and performance characteristics associated with retention and success. (As Provided).
Anmerkungen	Australasian Association for Institutional Research. 546 Gallymont Road, Mandurama, NSW 2792, Australia. +61-2-6367-5347; e-mail: secretary@aair.org.au; Web site: http://www.aair.org.au
Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2020/1/01