The Keys to the White House

Autor/in	Lichtman, Allan J.
Titel	The Keys to the White House
Quelle	In: Social Education, 76 (2012) 5, S.233-235 (3 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0037-7724
Schlagwörter	Elections; Governance; Federal Government; Political Science; Political Campaigns; Leadership Effectiveness; Prediction; Predictive Measurement; Predictive Validity; Economic Impact; Predictor Variables; Controversial Issues (Course Content); Teaching Methods + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Election; Wahl; Education; Educational policy; Financing; Steuerung; Bildung; Erziehung; Bildungspolitik; Finanzierung; Bundesregierung; Staatslehre; Politikwissenschaft; Politische Wissenschaft; Führungseffizienz; Vorhersage; Ökonomische Determinanten; Prädiktor; Controversial issues; Kontroverse; Teaching method; Lehrmethode; Unterrichtsmethode
Abstract	The Keys to the White House is a historically-based system for predicting the result of the popular vote in American presidential elections. The Keys system tracks the big picture of how well the party holding the White House has governed and does not shift with events of the campaign. This model gives specificity to the idea that it is governance, not campaigning, that counts in these elections. In the March 2012 issue of "Social Education" the author wrote, "In what may be the sternest test of the system to date, given high unemployment and sluggish economic growth, the Keys point to an Obama victory, regardless of the state of the economy in 2012." Today, the prediction of an Obama victory this year remains firm. (ERIC).
Anmerkungen	National Council for the Social Studies. 8555 Sixteenth Street #500, Silver Spring, MD 20910. Tel: 800-683-0812; Tel: 301-588-1800; Fax: 301-588-2049; e-mail: membership@ncss.org; Web site: http://www.socialstudies.org
Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10