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Autor/in | Neblock, Carl S. |
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Titel | A Broad Base National Enrollment Model. |
Quelle | (1996), (26 Seiten)
PDF als Volltext |
Beigaben | Tabellen |
Sprache | englisch |
Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; online; Monographie |
Schlagwörter | Tagungsbericht; Stellungnahme; Algorithms; Bilingual Education; Cohort Analysis; Compensatory Education; Cybernetics; Educational Finance; Elementary Secondary Education; Enrollment Projections; Enrollment Rate; Enrollment Trends; Feeder Patterns; Group Membership; Models; School Holding Power; Special Education; Systems Approach |
Abstract | The use of the cohort-survival method for projecting student enrollments is widely known in educational finance literature; however, the limited information provided by the model impedes planners in making future operational decisions. The cohort-survival method employs historical rates of usage to predict future patterns of usage and produces a grade-by-grade forecast for each student cohort. This paper presents a model that develops multipliers for several student-support programs to create a broad base of information. The model accommodates the number of regular public school students by grade level as well as an estimate of certain student-support programs--compensatory education, bilingual education, and 11 categories of special education. The model incorporates student-support-program requirements and adds the numbers of retained members to the next cohort, thus presenting a more accurate view of the enrollment picture. Two figures are included. (Contains nine references.) (LMI) |
Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
Update | 2004/1/01 |