Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
| Autor/inn/en | Mason, Thomas R.; Newton, Evan |
|---|---|
| Titel | Forecasting Library Futures: Participative Decisionmaking with a Microcomputer Model. Background Paper. Workshop 3. |
| Quelle | (1983), (16 Seiten) |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; Monographie |
| Schlagwörter | Quantitative Daten; College Libraries; Computer Programs; Facility Requirements; Higher Education; Library Acquisition; Library Collections; Library Facilities; Long Range Planning; Microcomputers; Microforms; Models; Prediction; Research Libraries; Space Utilization; Storage; Tables (Data) |
| Abstract | This paper describes the use of a microcomputer model program to predict library collection growth at Cornell University, particularly in Olin Library, which is Cornell's central research facility. The possible effects of increased online information retrieval and microform or videodisc usage on library storage needs are also briefly discussed. A graph based on simple extrapolation of historical data illustrates Olin's increasing growth rate for nonbook items and decreasing growth rate for classified bound print volumes from 1973 to 2002. A table then presents annual historical data and projections to the year 2002 for Olin's gross acquisitions, items withdrawn, net volumes added, total classified volumes, number of volumes transferred to annex storage, number of volumes stored on-campus, linear feet of archive space, number of microform items, number of maps and other nonbook items, and total number of book and nonbook items. Appended tables show Olin's historical and projected ratios of growth rates and data converted from item counts to volume equivalents using the State University of New York (SUNY) equivalency factors. A summary table shows projected library collection size and stack floor area requirements for all 15 Cornell libraries from FY 1982 to 2002. Based on model projections, it is concluded that stock/storage space will have to be increased by over 50% by 2002. (ESR) |
| Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
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