The Forecasting of Manpower Requirements. [Report No.: BLS-248

Autor/in	Sugg, Matilda R.
Institution	Bureau of Labor Statistics (DOL), Washington, DC.
Titel	The Forecasting of Manpower Requirements. [Report No.: BLS-248
Quelle	(1963), (101 Seiten) PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Verfügbarkeit
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Monographie
Schlagwörter	Bibliographies; Data Analysis; Developing Nations; Economic Progress; Educational Needs; Employment; Employment Opportunities; Employment Projections; Labor Force; Labor Utilization; Methods; Occupational Surveys; Prediction; Social Planning + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Auswertung; Developing country; Developing countries; Entwicklungsland; Economic growth; Wirtschaftswachstum; Educational need; Bildungsbedarf; Dienstverhältnis; Berufschance; Beschäftigungschance; Beschäftigungsentwicklung; Labour force; Arbeitskraft; Erwerbsbevölkerung; Method; Methode; Berufsanalyse; Vorhersage; Sozialplanung
Abstract	This handbook was designed to assist economists and statisticians in the economically developing countries in initiating and conducting studies for determining future manpower requirements in relation to anticipated development. It outlines a method of estimating future manpower requirements by occupation and industry and future training requirements or high-level occupations. The method is based largely on United States experience. However, modifications of the techniques used in the United States are suggested, based on a study of forecasting techniques employed in different counties. Steps in the method are: (1) Derive a rough first approximation of the future employment structure by economic activity, (2) Make a detailed analysis of each activity, (3) Modify the first approximations of future employment in accordance with the activity analysis, (4) derive an occupational employment breakdown in each activity, in the future period, and 5) Estimate training requirements for each important occupation by analyzing the probable supply of qualified workers under existing training arrangements in comparison with estimated needs for the future period. A bibliography of materials on economic development in different countries and an international standard industrial classification of economic activities are included. (ET)
Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2004/1/01