Early-career trajectories of young workers in the U.S. in the context of the 2008-09 recession: The effect of labor market entry timing.

Autor/inn/en	Atherwood, Serge; Sparks, Corey S.
Titel	Early-career trajectories of young workers in the U.S. in the context of the 2008-09 recession: The effect of labor market entry timing. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Frühe Berufsverläufe junger Arbeitnehmer in den USA im Kontext der Rezession 2008-09: Der Einfluss des Zeitpunkts des Berufseinstiegs.
Quelle	In: PLOS ONE, 14 (2019) 3, Art. e0214234, 30 S. PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1932-6203
DOI	10.1371/journal.pone.0214234
Schlagwörter	USA; Auswirkung; Berufsanfänger; Schulabgänger; Rezession; Sekundarbereich; Übergang Schule - Beruf; Beschäftigungseffekt; Rezession; Auswirkung; Konjunkturabhängigkeit; Hochschulabsolvent; Berufsanfänger; Schulabgänger; USA
Abstract	"Objective The goal of this study was to analyze differences in the employment and wage trajectories of college-educated young workers in the United States, as distinguished by the timing of their entry into the labor market relative to the onset of the 2008-09 recession. Methods and findings Using annual American Community Survey microdata, we analyzed the first six years of employment and wage outcomes for cohorts of young workers on traditional-student pathways entering the market (1) in 2006, shortly before recession onset; (2) in 2009, during the recession; and (3) in 2012, three years after the recession officially ended. We found evidence for negative effects on outcomes and outcome trajectories differentiated by the recession's proximity to workers' labor market entry, including lower wages for the cohort entering in 2009. However, recession effects tended to be smaller for workers at the high end of the education gradient or with no direct exposure to the recession and were outweighed by gendered labor outcome disparities. We also observed a possibly enduring, recession-induced rise in the number of idle young males and the proportion of male and female high school graduates enrolled in college and not working. Conclusions Cohort differences in labor outcomes show that the disadvantages of entering the labor market during an economic downturn appear lasting. However, the subordinate role of timing effects in sorting young workers' employment and wage rates, when compared to the stark stratification of employment and wage outcomes by education or sex, is a useful reminder that these latter social structures remain key determinants of labor outcomes." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2020/4