Welfare Transitions in the 1990s: The Economy, Welfare Policy, and the EITC

Autor/in	Grogger, Jeffrey
Titel	Welfare Transitions in the 1990s: The Economy, Welfare Policy, and the EITC
Quelle	In: Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 23 (2004) 4, S.671-695 (25 Seiten) PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0276-8739
DOI	10.1002/pam.20042
Schlagwörter	Income; Tax Credits; Welfare Services; Public Policy; Surveys; Economics; Participation; Unemployment; Case Records; Prediction; Influences + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Einkommen; Steuerermäßigung; Fürsorgeeinrichtung; Öffentliche Ordnung; Survey; Umfrage; Befragung; Volkswirtschaftslehre; Teilnahme; Arbeitslosigkeit; Case reports; Fallsammlung; Vorhersage; Influence; Einfluss; Einflussfaktor
Abstract	The rapid decline in the welfare caseload remains a subject of keen interest to both policymakers and researchers. In this paper, I use data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation spanning the period from 1986 to 1999 to analyze how the economy, welfare reform, the earned income tax credit (EITC), and other factors influence welfare entries and exits, which in turn affect the caseload. I find that the decline in the welfare caseload resulted from both increases in exits and decreases in entries. Entries were most significantly affected by the economy, the decline in the real value of welfare benefits, and the expansion of the EITC. Exits were most significantly affected by the economy and federal welfare reform. Federal reform had its greatest effects on longer-term spells of the type generally experienced by more disadvantaged recipients. Some out-of-sample predictions help explain the otherwise puzzling observation that, despite substantial increases in the unemployment rate since 2000, caseloads have remained roughly constant. (Author).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10