Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
Autor/inn/en | Dupuy, Arnaud; Helmrich, Robert; Koucký, Jan; Lepic, Martin; Maier, Tobias; Tiainen, Pekka; Wilson, Rob; Zika, Gerd |
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Sonst. Personen | Arendt, Lukasz (Hrsg.); Ulrichs, Magdalena (Hrsg.) |
Titel | Best practices in forecasting labour demand in Europe. Report 2. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Beste Methoden der Vorhersage der Arbeitskräftenachfrage in Europa. Report 2. |
Quelle | Warschau: Instytut Pracy i Spraw Socjalnych (2012), 155 S.
PDF als Volltext |
Reihe | Studia i Monografie |
Sprache | englisch |
Dokumenttyp | online; Monographie |
ISBN | 978-83-61125-73-0 |
Schlagwörter | Erhebung; Forschungsmethode; Arbeitskräfteangebot; Arbeitskräftebedarf; Arbeitsmarkt; Arbeitsmarktforschung; Berufliche Flexibilität; Berufsgruppe; Qualifikationsbedarf; Berufsfeld; Internationaler Vergleich; BIBB/IAB-Erhebung; Genauigkeit; Prognose; Prognosemodell; Verfahren; Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung; Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung; Deutschland; Finnland; Großbritannien; Niederlande; Tschechische Republik |
Abstract | This book describes systems of forecasting labour demand used in selected Member States of the European Union. The analysis of these systems, which may be seen as examples of the so called best practices, has led to the formulation of recommendations for the new Polish model and system of employment forecasting that is being built within the EU co-funded project 'Analysis of the processes on the Polish labour market and in the area of social integration in the context of conducted economic policy', Task 2 'Establishing the integrated forecasting and information system providing employment forecasts'. The recommendations are of general as well as of specific nature, and stem from experiences related to the implementation of forecasting systems in the EU countries. The book contains six chapters and an introduction. In the first chapter the approach to forecasting skills need in the UK, based on the project Working Futures, is presented. lt elaborates also on the strengths and weaknesses of this approach. The second chapter describes the framework of forecasting demand for labour implemented in Finland, that is based on the Long Term Labour Force Model (LTM) and the Mitenna model. The system of forecasting labour demand used in the Czech Republic is presented in the third chapter. The system has been developed in line with the CEDEFOP's methodology and enables making forecasts for different countries, including Poland - as a result, preliminary employment forecasts for Poland are a part of the chapter. Chapter four and five describe the German forecasting system. The IAB/INFORGE model used in forecasting labour demand and the latest developments within the framework of the QUBE project, which introduced the concept of the occupational flexibility matrix, are discussed there. In the last chapter the methodology of forecasting expansion demand by occupation and education in Holland is elaborated. (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ". |
Erfasst von | Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg |
Update | 2013/2 |