Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d'etat

Autor/in	Powell, Jonathan
Titel	Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d'etat
Quelle	In: Journal of Conflict Resolution, 56 (2012) 6, S.1017-1040 (24 Seiten) PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0022-0027
DOI	10.1177/0022002712445732
Schlagwörter	Economic Factors; Participant Characteristics; Political Power; Power Structure; Military Personnel; Military Service; Armed Forces; Governance; Change Strategies; Social Change; Political Attitudes; Political Influences; Political Socialization; Hypothesis Testing; Predictor Variables; Conflict Resolution; Administrative Change; Organizational Change; Governmental Structure; Presidents + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Ökonomischer Faktor; Politische Macht; Militärdienst; Military; Militär; Education; Educational policy; Financing; Steuerung; Bildung; Erziehung; Bildungspolitik; Finanzierung; Lösungsstrategie; Sozialer Wandel; Political attitude; Politische Einstellung; Political influence; Politischer Einfluss; Politische Sozialisation; Hypothesenprüfung; Hypothesentest; Prädiktor; Conflict solving; Konfliktlösung; Konfliktregelung; Organisationswandel; Regierungssystem; President; Präsident
Abstract	Previous studies have attested to leaders "coup-proofing" their regimes by reducing the ability or disposition of their armies to seek their removal. The following article tests the utility of these efforts. "Structural" coup-proofing such as counterbalancing is expected to reduce the ability to organize a coup plot by creating substantial coordination obstacles to soldiers. Coup-proofing by spoiling militaries with organizational resources is expected to reduce the willingness to intervene. However, increased organizational resources are expected to increase the army's capabilities, thereby increasing the likelihood of a coup's success. The theory is empirically tested using a selection model with a global sample from 1961 to 2000. Findings suggest that both coup-proofing strategies are effective deterrents of coup activity and, more generally, that characteristics of the military appear to be far more important than economic influences on coups. (Contains 2 tables, 3 figures, and 7 notes.) (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10