Inference as Prediction

Autor/in	Watson, Jane
Titel	Inference as Prediction
Quelle	In: Australian Mathematics Teacher, 63 (2007) 1, S.6-11 (6 Seiten) PDF als Volltext (1); PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (2) Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0045-0685
Schlagwörter	Inferences; Probability; Prediction; Decision Making; Statistical Analysis; Mathematics Skills; Graphs; Comparative Analysis; Mathematics Instruction; Elementary School Mathematics; Elementary School Students; Secondary School Mathematics; Secondary School Students; Foreign Countries; Australia + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Inference; Inferenz; Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung; Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie; Vorhersage; Decision-making; Entscheidungsfindung; Statistische Analyse; Mathmatics achievement; Mathematics ability; Mathematische Kompetenz; Grafische Darstellung; Mathematics lessons; Mathematikunterricht; Elementare Mathematik; Schulmathematik; Sekundarschüler; Ausland; Australien
Abstract	Inference, or decision making, is seen in curriculum documents as the final step in a statistical investigation. For a formal statistical enquiry this may be associated with sophisticated tests involving probability distributions. For young students without the mathematical background to perform such tests, it is still possible to draw informal inferences based on data of various sorts, for example by comparing two graphical representations. In doing so it is important to be able to state the assumptions that are the foundation for the decision made. This article considers a straightforward context where students are asked to make predictions. These predictions are informal inferences that can be based on aspects of the scenario, the students' appreciation of the context, and their cognisance of the data presented. (Contains 2 figures and 1 table.) (ERIC).
Anmerkungen	Australian Association of Mathematics Teachers (AAMT). GPO Box 1729, Adelaide,5001, South Australia. Tel: +61-8-8363-0288; Fax: +61-8-8362-9288; e-mail: office@aamt.edu.au; Web site: http://www.aamt.edu.au
Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10