2050 and Beyond: A Futurist Perspective on Musicians' Livelihoods

Autor/in	Tolmie, Diana
Titel	2050 and Beyond: A Futurist Perspective on Musicians' Livelihoods
Quelle	In: Music Education Research, 22 (2020) 5, S.596-610 (15 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Zusatzinformation	ORCID (Tolmie, Diana)
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1461-3808
DOI	10.1080/14613808.2020.1841133
Schlagwörter	Musicians; Futures (of Society); Sustainability; Climate; Economic Development; Developing Nations; Foreign Countries; Health Care Costs; Retirement; Chronic Illness; Aging (Individuals); COVID-19; Pandemics; Computer Use; Consumer Economics; Expectation; Interpersonal Relationship; Technological Advancement; Innovation; Asia + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Musiker; Future; Society; Zukunft; Nachhaltigkeit; Klima; Wirtschaftsentwicklung; Developing country; Developing countries; Entwicklungsland; Ausland; Pensionierung; Chronic disease; Chronische Krankheit; Aging; Altern; Konsumökonomie; Expectancy; Erwartung; Interpersonal relation; Interpersonal relations; Interpersonelle Beziehung; Zwischenmenschliche Beziehung; Technological development; Technologische Entwicklung; Asien
Abstract	While it could be argued that musicians have been long conditioned to the current Volatile, Uncertain, Complex and Ambiguous (VUCA) global environment, it appears the recent challenges are testing even the most resilient and adaptable, causing one to question future professional sustainability. The methodological practice of Strategic Foresight and the use of Hajkowicz's Global Megatrends as a guiding framework is chosen to answer the question 'what will musicians' livelihoods look like in 2050?'. Resultant scenarios of musicians' futures conclude that live performance will be highly valued and in demand, and largely enabled by private funding and repurposed resources. Music, and therefore musicians, will embrace diversity and innovation in physical and digital forms, broadcasting to a global public seeking a more human experience within a non-human environment. The interim decades may see an increasing inclusion of professional non-music careers within one's portfolio of work, further expanding generic definitions of 'musician'. However, are experts in the fields of Music Careers and Strategic Foresight eligible to cast opinion? Can Strategic Foresight practice be even remotely applicable in these current postnormal times? Regardless, higher music education is required to adapt, and continue to adapt, by including digital literacy and futures thinking training. (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2024/1/01