Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
| Autor/inn/en | Lutz, Frank W.; Wang, Lee-Yen |
|---|---|
| Titel | The Dissat-Factor: Recent Discoveries in the Dissatisfaction Theory. |
| Quelle | (1988), (21 Seiten) |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; Monographie |
| Schlagwörter | Board Candidates; Boards of Education; Elections; Elementary Secondary Education; Factor Analysis; Models; Predictor Variables; Public Schools; Regression (Statistics); School Districts; Texas |
| Abstract | Data on 70 independent school districts within the East Texas School Study Council were studied to develop a model, based on dissatisfaction theory, that would predict a target election of a school board member. It was hypothesized that: (1) standard variables from the dissatisfaction theory would account for a significant amount of the variance in incumbent defeat (ICD) in the election; (2) those variables identified in the regression equation accounting for the variance in ICD would be unstable across time; (3) the statistical model would predict the results of a future election better than chance would indicate; and (4) the principal predictor in such a formula would be a factor emerging from dissatisfaction theory (the Dissat-factor). Data were analyzed using a stepwise multiple regression procedure. Results indicate that: standard variables cannot be used to predict future elections (even though they continue to account for significant amounts of the variance in ICD in previous elections); the factor emerging from dissatisfaction theory (the Dissat-factor) is a stable variable that can predict ICD in future elections; and other variables dealing with the school board pattern can be useful in predicting ICD. Twelve tables are included. (TJH) |
| Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
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