Skills-displacing technological change and its impact on jobs. Challenging technological alarmism?

Autor/inn/en	McGuinness, Seamus; Pouliakas, Konstantinos; Redmond, Paul
Institution	Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit
Titel	Skills-displacing technological change and its impact on jobs. Challenging technological alarmism? Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Qualifikationsersetzender technischer Wandel und sein Einfluss auf Arbeitsplätze: Herausfordernder technologischer Alarmismus?
Quelle	Bonn (2019), 28 S. PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Reihe	IZA discussion paper. 12541
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Monographie
ISSN	2365-9793
Schlagwörter	Substitution; Automatisierung; Technologische Entwicklung; Beschäftigungseffekt; Mismatch; Qualifikationswandel; Tätigkeitswandel; Internationaler Vergleich; Auswirkung; Diskurs; Europäische Union; Belgien; Bulgarien; Deutschland; Dänemark; Estland; Finnland; Frankreich; Griechenland; Großbritannien; Irland; Italien; Kroatien; Lettland; Litauen; Luxemburg; Malta; Niederlande; Polen; Portugal; Rumänien; Schweden; Slowakei; Slowenien; Spanien; Tschechische Republik; Ungarn; Zypern; Österreich
Abstract	"We use data from a new international dataset - the European Skills and Jobs Survey - to create a unique measure of skills-displacing technological change (SDT), defined as technological change that may render workers' skills obsolete. We find that 16 percent of adult workers in the EU are impacted by SDT, with significant variance across countries, ranging from a high of 28 percent in Estonia, to below seven percent in Bulgaria. Despite claims that technological change contributes to the deskilling of jobs, we present evidence that SDT is associated with dynamic upskilling of workers. The paper also presents the first direct micro-evidence of the reinstatement effect of automating technology, namely a positive contribution of automation to the task content and skills complexity of the jobs of incumbent workers. Despite the recent focus on the polarising impact of automation and associated reskilling needs of lower-skilled individuals, our evidence also draws attention to the fact that SDT predominantly affects higher-skilled workers, reinforcing inequalities in upskilling opportunities within workplaces. Workers affected by SDT also experience greater job insecurity." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2020/1