This job is 'getting old': measuring changes in job opportunities using occupational age structure.

Autor/inn/en	Autor, David; Dorn, David
Institution	Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit
Titel	This job is 'getting old': measuring changes in job opportunities using occupational age structure. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Dieser Beruf 'altert': Messung der Veränderung der Berufsaussichten unter Anwendung der beruflichen Altersstruktur.
Quelle	Bonn (2009), 9 S.; 178 KB PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (1); PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei (2) Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Reihe	IZA discussion paper. 3970
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Monographie; Graue Literatur
Schlagwörter	Segmentierung; Technologische Entwicklung; Altersstruktur; Beschäftigungseffekt; Beschäftigungsentwicklung; Niedrig qualifizierte Arbeit; Arbeitsmarkt; Arbeitsmarktchance; Berufschance; Berufsgruppe; Berufsstruktur; Beschäftigungsstruktur; Mittlere Berufsausbildung; Niedrig Qualifizierter; Qualifikationsstruktur; Regionaler Arbeitsmarkt; Alter; Arbeitspapier; Routine; Hoch Qualifizierter; USA
Abstract	"High- and low-wage occupations are expanding rapidly relative to middle-wage occupations in both the U.S. and the E.U. We study the reallocation of workers from middle-skill occupations towards the tails of the occupational skill distribution by analyzing changes in age structure within and across occupations. Because occupations typically expand by hiring young workers and contract by curtailing such hiring, we posit that growing occupations will get younger while shrinking occupations will 'get old.' After verifying this proposition, we apply this observation to local labor markets in the U.S. to test whether markets that were specialized in middle-skilled occupations in 1980 saw a differential movement of both older and younger workers into occupations at the tails of the skill distribution over the subsequent 25 years. Consistent with aggregate trends, employment in initially middle-skill-intensive labor markets hollowed-out between 1980 and 2005. Employment losses among non-college workers in the middle of the occupational skill distribution were almost entirely countered by employment growth in lower-tail occupations. For college workers, employment losses at the middle were offset in roughly equal measures by gains in the upper- and lower-tails of the occupational skill distribution. But gains at the upper-tail were almost entirely limited to young college workers. Consequently, older college workers are increasingly found in lower-skill, lower-paying occupations." Die Untersuchung enthält quantitative Daten. Forschungsmethode: empirisch-quantitativ; empirisch; Sekundäranalyse; Längsschnitt. Die Untersuchung bezieht sich auf den Zeitraum 1980 bis 2005. (author's abstract, IAB-Doku).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2009/3