Long-run patterns of labour market polarisation. Evidence from German micro data.

Autor/inn/en	Bachmann, Ronald; Cim, Merve; Green, Colin
Titel	Long-run patterns of labour market polarisation. Evidence from German micro data. Gefälligkeitsübersetzung: Langfristige Muster der Arbeitsmarktpolarisierung. Erkenntnisse aus deutschen Mikrodaten.
Quelle	In: British journal of industrial relations, 57 (2019) 2, S. 350-376 PDF als Volltext Link als defekt meldenVerfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0007-1080; 1467-8543
DOI	10.1111/bjir.12419
Schlagwörter	Arbeitsmarkt; Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Geistige Arbeit; Auswirkung; Qualifikation; Berufliche Mobilität; Geistige Arbeit; Technologische Entwicklung; Beschäftigungseffekt; Arbeitsmarkt; Arbeitsmarktentwicklung; Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Berufliche Mobilität; Mittlere Berufsausbildung; Qualifikation; Tätigkeitswandel; Auswirkung; Integrierte Arbeitsmarktbiografien; Manuelle Arbeit; Routine
Abstract	"The past four decades have witnessed dramatic changes in the structure of employment. In particular, the rapid increase in computational power has led to large-scale reductions in employment in jobs that can be described as intensive in routine tasks. These jobs have been shown to be concentrated in middle-skill occupations. A large literature on labour market polarization characterizes and measures these processes at an aggregate level. However, to date, there is little information regarding the individual worker adjustment processes related to routine-biased technological change. Using an administrative panel dataset for Germany, we follow workers over an extended period of time and provide evidence of both the short-term adjustment process and medium-run effects of routine task-intensive job loss at an individual level. We initially demonstrate a marked, and steady, shift in employment away from routine, middle-skill, occupations. In subsequent analysis, we demonstrate how exposure to jobs with higher routine task content is associated with a reduced likelihood of being in employment in both the short term (after one year) and medium term (five years). This employment penalty to routineness of work has increased over the past four decades. More generally, we demonstrate that routine task work is associated with reduced job stability and more likelihood of experiencing periods of unemployment. However, these negative effects of routine work appear to be concentrated in increased employment to employment, and employment to unemployment transitions rather than longer periods of unemployment." (Author's abstract, Published by arrangement with John Wiley & Sons).
Erfasst von	Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
Update	2019/2